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Public Service Commission Uttarpradesh - Upper Subordinate Services Examination 2007



Combined State / Upper Subordinate Services Examination 2007

15. Statisdtics:

PAPER-I - Probability Theory and Statistical Application

GROUP - A - PROBABILITY THEORY : Sample Space and Events, Classical and Axiomatic Definitions of Probability, Properties of Probability Measure, Conditional Probability, Independence of Events, Bayes Theorem and its Applications.Random Variable and its Distribution Function, Elementary Properties of Distribution Function, Discrete and Continuous Random Variables, Vibariate Distribution and Associated Marginal and Conditional Distributions.- Expectation, Moments, Moment Generating and Characteristic Functions, Markov and Chebyshev Inequalities, Convergence in probability, Weak Law of Large Numbers and Central Limit Theorem for independently and Identically Distributed Random Variables. Some Standard Discrete and Continuous Distributions, viz., Bionomial, Poisson, Hypergeometric, Geometric Negative Binomial, Multinomial, Uniform, Normal, Exponential, Gamma, Beta and Cauchy, Bivariate Normal Distribution.

GROUP - B - STATISTICAL APPLICATIONS: Linear Regression and Correlation, Product Moment Correlation, Rank Correlation, Intra-class Correlation and Correlation Ratio, Multiple and Partial Correlational and Regression for Three Variables. Principles of Experimental Design, One-Way and Two-Way Analysis of Variance with Equal number of Observations per Cell, Completely Randomized Design, Randomized Block Design, Latin Square Design, 22 and 23 Factorial Experiments, Missing Plot Technique. Sources of Demographic Data, Stable and Stationary Populations, Measures of Fertility and Mortality, Life Tables, Simple Populations, Measures of Fertility and Mortality, Life Tables, Simple Population Growth Models and Population Projection Techniques. Index Numbers and their Uses, Index Numbers due to Laspeyre, Paasche, Marshall-Edgeworth and Fisher, Tests for Index Numbers, Construction for Price Index Number and Cost-of Living Index Number. Times Series and Its Components, Determination of Trend and Seasonal Indices, Periodogram and Correlogram Analysis, Variate Difference Method.

PAPER - II - STATISTICAL INFERENCE AND MANAGEMENT

GROUP-A - STATISTICAL INFERENCE : Properties of Estimators, Consistency, Unbiasedness, Efficiency, Sufficiency and Completeness, Cramer-Rao Bound, Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimation, Rao-Blackwell Theorem. Estimation Procedures, Method of Moments and Method of Maximum Likelihood, Properties of Estimators, Interval Estimation. Simple and Composite Hypotheses, Two Kinds of Errors, Critical Region, Level of Significance, Size and Power Function, Unbiased Tests, Most-Powerful and Uniformly Most Powerful Tests, Neyman-Pearson Lemma and its Applications, Likelihood Ratio Tests. Tests based on t, x2, z and F- distributions, Large Sample Tests, Variance Stabilizing Transformations. Distributions of Order Statistics and Range, Non-parametric Tests, viz.. Sign Test, Median Test, Run Test, Wilcoxon- Mann-WhitneyTest.

GROUP - B - STATISTICAL MANAGEMENT : Nature of Operations Research Problems, Linear Programming Problem and the Graphical Solution in simple Cases, Simplex Method,. Dual of Linear Programming Problem, Allocation and Transportation Problems. Zero sum two-peson game, Pure and Mixed Strategies, Value of a Game, Fundamental Theorem, Solution of 2 x 2 Games. Nature and Scope of Sample Survey, Sampling vs. Complete Enumeration, Simple Random Sampling from Finite Populations with and Without Replacement, Stratified Sampling and Allocation Principles, Cluster Sampling with Equal Cluster Size. Ratio, Product and Regression Methods of Estimation and Double Sampling, Two Stage Sampling with Equal First Stage Units, Systematic Sampling. Statistical-Quality Control, Control Charts for Variables and Attributes -(,R), (-s) p.n.p. and C Charts. Acceptance-Sampling, OC, ASN and ATI Curves, Producer’s risk and Consumer’s risk, Concept of AQL, AOQL and LTPD, Single and Double Sampling Plans. Scaling Procedures, Scaling of Test Items, Test Scores, Qualitative Judgements, Theory of Tests, Parallel Tests, True Score, Reliability and Validity of Tests.

16. DEFENCE STUDIES :

PAPER - I Evolution of Strategic thoughts

Section-A

1. Concpet and theories of Conflict (a) Origin, perceptions, processes, escalation, goal achievement, etc. of conflicts fn human social relation and its relevance to international conflict. (b) Conflict as War: State behaviour, causes, correlates, domestic sources, glogal structural sources, commencement and termination, negotiation, ecology of warfare etc. (c) Concepts of war and Its relation with politics : Classical thought and trends from Mechiaveli to Nuclear Age.
2. (a) Kautilya’s philosophy of war and his strategic contribution. (b) Suntzu’s thoughts on war. (c) Thoughts of Jomini and Clausewitz on Strategy, Tactics, Logistics, Principles of War and Nature of War.
3. War and industrial society with reference to the views of Marx Engles.
4. Concepts and Theories of Revolutionary War and Guerrilla Warfare with reference to the views of Lenin, Mao to tung, Che Guevara, Regis Debray and Giap.
5. Economic bases of military power : (a) Economics of war. (b) Linkages between commercial, financial, industrial, economic and politico;military strengths and weaknesses of a nation-state. (c) Arms trace and theory of donor-recipient behavior. (d) Post-war economy and reconstruction.
6. Theories of Land, Sea and Air Warfare :(a)Theories of land warfare with reference to mobile defence, use of tank and machine, warfare and propounded by Liddell Hast and J.F.C. Fuller. (b) Views of A.T. Mahan on the elements of sea power and naval strategy. (c)Continental doctrine of sea power. (d) Heartland theiroes of Halford Mackinder. (e) Heartland theories based on National Power. (f) Theories of Air Power as propounded by G. Douhet, Mitchell and Alexander de Seversky.

SECTION-B

7. German concept of total war with reference to the views of Luideadroff; German strategy in the Machine Age 8. Military strategy of Allied Powers during the World War II 9. Soviet military strategy with reference to the views of Lenin, Trosky, Stalin and V.D. Sokolovsky. 10. Concept and theories of deterrence : (a) Concepts and theories of conventional deterrance. (b) Concept and theories of nuclear deterrence with reference to the views of Liddell Hart, Andre Beaufre, Y. Harkavi and Henry Kissinger. 11. Concepts of Disarmament and Development vs. Defence and Development. 12. Concept and theories of Arms Control and Disarmament. 13. Concept and theories of ‘Peace-keeping’ and Peace-Building. 14.Theories of Conflict Resolution, methods of Conflict Resolution; Gandhian techniques of Conflict Resolution.

PAPER - II

Section-A

1. Conceptuall framework of National Security in the contemporary strategic thinking. 2. Evolution of National Security thinking and problematics. 3. Theories of National Power. (a) Definitive framework of National Power. (b)The impression of Power as a concept. (c) Power profile of nation stases. (d) Non-Power influence. (e) Elements of National Power. (i) Tangible elements: Geography, Population, Extent of Territory, Natural Resources, Industrial Capacity, Financial Capability, Scientific and Technological Capability, Military Capability. (ii) Intangible elements: Leadership, Bureaucratic and Organisational Efficiency, Type of Government, Social and Ethnic Cohasiveness, National Character and Reputation, National, Morale, Public Support.
4. Concept and models of International Security. (i) Conceptual frame work of International Security during the Cold War and Post Cold War Periods. (ii) Balance of Power (iii) Collective Security (iv) Collective Defence (v) Non- Alignment. 5. Concept and theories of conventional and nuclear deterrence. 6. (i) Arms proliferation as a constraint to National, Regional and International Security, (ii) Prospects for Arms control. 7. International Terrorism : Concept and dimensions. 8. Insurgency and Counter-Insurgency; Concepts and dimensions. 9. Co-relation between Foreign, Defence and Domestic policies. 10. Historical Legacy, Geo-political and Geo Strategical considerations of India’s Security.

Section-B

11. NATIONAL SECURITY PROBLEMATICS AND INDIA’S QUEST FOR SECURITY : (a) India in the world strategic arena; Contemporary trends. (b) India’s quest for security vis-a-vis Pakistan (till-date); Pakistan’s conventional nuclear and missile programmes and their impact on India defence, India’s options. (c) India-China boundary dispute; Positions and Polemics : efforts for the settlement of the boundary dispute; framework of Cooperative Security between India and China. (d) India’s mutuality of strategic and other interests with Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, Myanmar, Srilanka, Maldives and Afganistan. (e) Role of extra-regional powers in the Post-Cold War South Asian strategic milieu and India’s security considerations. (f) Need of Confidence and Security Building Measures’ for India and its South Asia neighbours.
12. SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND INDIA’S SECURITY : (a) India’s scientific and technological base for National Defence. (b) Need for India’s integrated science policy. (c) India’s defence industrialisation and achievements. (d)India’s Research and Development (R&D).
13. INDIA’S-NUCLEAR POLICY AND OPTIONS : (a) India’s need for nuclear power. (b) India’s nuclear breakthroughs. (c) India’s nuclear options in a nuclearised world
14. INDIAN OCEAN AND INDIA’S SECURITY CONSIDERATIONS : (a) Strategic mileu in and around the Indian Ocean region (b) India’s security problems in relation to the Indian Ocean region (c) India’s maritime security and its needs for naval power projections.
15. India’s over-all security perspectives and defence preparedness.
16. INTERNATIONAL SECURITY OF INDIA : (a) Harmful internal threats and challenges-diminution of social and ethnie cohesiveness, communalism, linguistic differences ; regionalism rise of ethno nationalism, poor governability and political instability; corruption in the various walks of National life; overpopulations and ethnie migration across the borders rising but frustrated expectations of people at the root of insecurity; ecological imbalances and economic problems. (b) Low Intensity Conflicts (LIC) in India with special reference to Jammu & Kashmir and the North-East region. (c) Identification of the problems of Internal Security and conditions for the use of military ; pros and cons. (d) Imperatives of a comprehensive National Security-Strategy.

17. Management

The candidates are expected to be acquainted with various aspects of Management. They should be able to apply theory to practice In the context of world business, in general, and business in India, in particular. For this, they are expected to be well conversant with the environment, in which business functions in India.They should also be able to display knowledge and application of managerial tools of analysis,and decision-making in various functional areas.

PAPER - I

1. Management Concepts and Evolution : Concept and significance of Management; Management-as science or art.as a pofession and distinction between management and administration. Roles and responsibilities of management; Principles of management; Evolution of management-classical school, new-classical school, modem management school; contribution of management experts.
2. Planning and Decision Makings : Planning-nature, type, significance and limitations; objectives of organisation; MBO; Plans objectives; policies; procedures; planning premises and forecasting; Techniques of forecasting; Decision-making-types, process; Rational decision making-its.limitations.
3. Organisation and Organisational Behaviour : Organisation-concept, factors affecing; Departmentation and assignment of activities, Span of management; Authority and responsibility, Authority-meaning, types, sources. Acceptance of authority; Delegation of authority meaning, principles and obstacles to delegation; Centralisation and decentralisation of authority; Organisational behavior-concept and signficance; individual and group behaviour; Organisational Change.
4. Directing : Directing-meaning, principles and techniques ; Motivation-Theories; Contribution of Maslow, Herzberg, McGregor, McLeland, and other leading authorities; Leadership-meaning, functions and types; qualifies of a successful leader, Various theories of leadership; Communication-meaning, types and techniques; barriers to communication; Measures for effective communication.
5. Controlling and Co-ordinating ; Controlling-meaning, process; pre-requisites for effective controlling, Methods of controllingbudgetary and non budgetary, Co-ordination, Principles, Techniques and barriers to co-ordination.
6. Business Environments: Concept and signficance of Business environmet, Interplay between business unit and environment; social responsibilities of business, business ethics; Industrial Policy ; Monetary Policy; Fiscal Policy; Foreign capital and foreign collaboration; Multinationals in India; Causes of concentration of economic power, control of monopoly

PAPER - II :

SECTION - I - MARKETING MANAGEMENT

Concept and functions of marketing, Marketing mix; Market segmentation and product differentiation; Product modification and product life-cycle. Consumer motivation and behaviour; Demand forecasting. Sales promotion; Advertising; Salesmanship and management of sales force. Role and techniques of marketing research. Marketing audit and control. Decision aeas in international marketing. Rural Marketing in India.

SECTION - II - PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT

Meaning and nature ol Production Management. Types of Production systems. Production planning and control, Ranking, loading and scheduling for different types of production systems. Plant location and site selection. Plant layout and Materials handling. Production design. Value analysis. Quality Control, Inventory Control ; ABC Analysis, Determination of EOQ, Reorder point and safety stock. Waste management.

SECTION - III - FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Meaning and scope, Estimating the Firm’s financial requirements; Capital Structure determination; Cost of Capital; the Size of Working Capital; Managerial dimensions of Working Capital, Management of Long-Term Funds; Capital market, institutional mechanism for funds. Leasing and sub-contracting. Investment decisions, Criteria for investment appraisal; Risk Analysis in Investment decision. Financial management in Public Enterprises.with reference to India.

SECTION - IV - HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

Nature scope and significance of Human Resources. Recruitment and Training, Development; Promotion and Transfer; Performance appraisal; Job evaluation and Merit rating. Wage and salary administration. Employee morale and Motivation. Industrial Democracy and workers participation in Management, Collective’ Bargaining. Discipline and Grievance handling. Conciliation and adjudication; Trade Unionism in India.

Public Service Commission Uttarpradesh - Upper Subordinate Services Examination 2007

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